Earlier today I posted the latest
PSD's Twitter Top 25. Now it's time to look at this Saturday's biggest games.
9/29/2011 7:00 PM CST
#16 South Florida at Pittsburgh
Spread: S Florida -3
The line for this opened at Pitt -3 and quickly swung to South Florida being the favorite. The Panthers are coming off two consecutive tough losses to Iowa and Notre Dame and look to record win number three at home against the Bulls. South Florida brings an offense that averages 45 points a game. The two have a common opponent in Notre Dame. South Florida won the season opener against the Irish while Pitt was only able to put 12 points on the board at home. Everything points to a South Florida win here but don't discount the kooky Thursday night game and the home dog.
10/1/2011 11:00 AM CST
Northwestern at #22 Illinois
Spread: Illini -7.5
Last year this rivaly game was played in Wrigley Field under modified rules due to the outfield wall being too close to the field. This year the 4-0 Illini will host a Wildcat team that had extra time to prepare coming off a bye week and should have hero Dan Persa back at QB. The question will be how effective can Persa be and will he still be the mobile quarterback that shined in early 2010. The Illinois defense is tough and thus far only gives up an average of 57 yards rushing a game. It's opening weekend for the Big Ten and both of these teams would like to start the season off right with one in the win column.
10/1/11 11:00 AM CST
#19 Arkansas at #15 Texas A&M
Spread: A&M -3
Here is a match-up of future conference foes. Texas A&M was accepted as the 13th member of the SEC just this week. Both teams are coming off their first loss of the season and the loser here could find themselves outside of the Top 25. Both teams average around 38 points a game so expect a shootout in College Station. The advantage goes to the Aggies who have the home field and have yet to leave Aggieland this season. Arkansas' only road trip was last week's loss to Alabama. Arkansas needs a win because Auburn looms next week.
10/1/2011 2:30 PM CST
Auburn at #10 South Carolina
Spread: S Carolina -10.5
Speaking of the Auburn Tigers, they go on the road to take on the undefeated and #10 ranked South Carolina Gamecocks. South Carolina has been in or near the Top 10 all season but at times hasn't looked like a Top 10 team. Auburn's only loss was to Clemson which is looking better after Clemson's defeat of Florida State last week. The young Auburn defense is surrendering on average 226 yards a game and South Carolina's Marcus Lattimore may be the nation's best rusher. Look for Spurrier to give Lattimore the rock and score some points but don't discount Auburn hanging in the game if it becomes a shootout.
10/1/2011 2:30 PM CST
#14 Baylor at Kansas State
Spread: Baylor -4.5
Kansas State is riding the momentum of a huge goal line stand in Miami last week to upset the Hurricanes at home. That could work both ways as the physical match-up with the Canes could leave K-State a little banged up. Baylor, on the other hand, had an easy win over Rice and should be ready to start the Big 12 season. Both teams are 3-0 and Baylor has rocketed up the Top 25 since the opening season win over TCU. The Wildcats are creeping closer to the Top 25 and a home dog victory could place the Cats in the Top 20.
10/1/2011 5:00 PM CST
#13 Clemson at #9 Virginia Tech
Spread: V Tech -6.5
Clemson is the hottest team in the polls having gone from unranked to #13 in just two weeks. The Tigers have ended the nation's longest winning streak by defeating Auburn and followed it up by taking down Florida State. The caveat is that Auburn may have several more losses on that schedule and Florida State had to play a freshman quarterback. Virginia Tech, however, hasn't had a true test yet this season. The Hokies have hovered in and around the Top 10 since preseason but have defeated Appalachian State, East Carolina, Arkansas State and Marshall. The Hokies are the home favorite and may see a tired Tigers team this Saturday. It's possible that this game is a preview of the ACC championship game, unless Georgia Tech has something to say about that.
10/1/2011 6:00 PM CST
#18 Texas at Iowa State
Spread: Texas -10.5
The Longhorns suffered a loss to Iowa State for the first time last season in Austin. The road win for the Cyclones continued a trend of big upset road victories for Cyclone coach Paul Rhodes (the Cyclones knocked off Nebraska the season prior). Texas coach Mack Brown says this one is circled on the Longhorn calender. Iowa State's Jack Trice Stadium could be sold out for a third consecutive game this season, a school record. Vegas likes the Longhorns to avenge last season's loss. Both teams are coming off a bye week and had extra time to prepare.
10/1/2011 7:00 PM CST
#3 Alabama at #12 Florida
Spread: Bama -4
A week after Alabama faced previously ranked #13 Arkansas they head to the swamp to take on the #12 Gators. Such is life in the SEC. Nick Saban's defense will look to stop Charlie Weis and his Florida offense. Statistically, both teams are similar with the exception being on the defensive side. Alabama is allowing only 184 total yards a game on average. Florida's has been pretty good too, allowing only 232 a game. A win in the swamp could catapult the Tide to the #1 ranking. LSU took that spot this week after a big prime time win.
10/1/2011 7:00 PM CST
#10 Nebraska at #5 Wisconsin
Spread: Wisky - 9.5
It's the inaugural game for the Cornhuskers and what a match-up it is. The luck of the draw puts Nebraska in Madison to take on the best team in the Big Ten. Wisconsin has had a walk-through of an out-of-conference schedule. Perhaps a trick Bielema learned from Bill Snyder. Nebraska has gone on the road to face a previously 3-0 Wyoming team and hosted Washington and Fresno State at home. The Husker's D is allowing almost 350 yards a game on average. That could be a problem as Wisconsin has averaged 532 yards a game and 48 points on offense. Madtown will be just that and Nebraska is going to learn really quick what life in the Big Ten is all about.